Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 37%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.