Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 0-1 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.