Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.