Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for La Louviere had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest La Louviere win was 1-0 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).