Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for La Louviere had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest La Louviere win was 0-1 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.