Belgian Pro League Gameweek 2
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
Luminus Arena

Genk vs Leuven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
Antwerp 1 - 2 Genk
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Daan Heymans

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 5.15pm
Leuven 1 - 3 Standard Liege
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Sory Kaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Genk win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw has a probability of 22.79% and a win for Leuven has a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.76%) , while for a Leuven win it is 1-2 (5.53%).

Result

Genk 56.82% (-0.11)
Draw 22.79%
Leuven 20.39% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.28% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.99% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.01% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 56.32% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 43.68% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.57% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.43% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 20.27% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.73% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Genk 40.05%
Draw 40.38%
Leuven 19.58%

Team To Score First

Genk 60.89% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.29% (-0.02)
Leuven 33.82% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 70.33% (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.4%
Under 8 20.26% (+0.02)
Over 9 59.74% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.6% (+0.01)
Under 9 29.67% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 48.77% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 51.23% (+0.02)

Genk Goals

Over 1.5 55.05% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 44.95% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 28.14%
Under 2.5 71.86%
Over 3.5 11.77%
Under 3.5 88.23%

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5 57.91% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 42.09% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 25.21% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 74.79% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 8.15% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.85% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.13% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.87% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Genk 56.8%
Draw 22.79%
Leuven 20.4%
Genk
2-1 @ 10.55% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.05%
3-0 @ 5.67% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 11.61% (-0.01)
Total : 56.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 22.79%
Leuven
1-2 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.97% (+0.04)
Total : 20.4%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Nov 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mujaid 50' goal
  • Daan Heymans 81' goal
  • yellowcard Henok Teklab 14'
  • yellowcard Noe Dussenne 38'
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 68'
  • goal Sory Kaba 78'
Belgian Pro League
Aug 15, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Matte Smets 6' redcard
  • Jarne Steuckers 48' goal
  • Hyun-Gyu Oh 84' goal
  • Carlos Cuesta 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youssef Maziz 30'
  • yellowcard Takahiro Akimoto 40'
  • yellowcard Hasan Kurucay 45'
  • yellowcard Tobe Leysen 83'
  • yellowcard Manuel Osifo 90'+6'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 2
Aug 3, 2024 5.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Youssef Maziz 21' goal
  • Takahiro Akimoto 21' yellowcard
  • Thibault Vlietinck 35' goal
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 70' yellowcard
  • Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 35'
  • yellowcard Alieu Fadera 45'+2'
  • goal Tolu Arokodare 61'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2024 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 47' yellowcard
  • Siebe Schrijvers 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Siebe Schrijvers 80' goal
  • Ewoud Pletinckx 90' goal
  • yellowcard Patrik Hrosovsky 22'
  • yellowcard Joseph Paintsil 45'+3'
  • goal Federico Ricca 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 79'
  • yellowcard Carlos Cuesta 82'
  • yellowcard Zakaria El Ouahdi 82'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 14
Nov 12, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Bryan Heynen 25' goal
  • Christopher Baah 67' yellowcard
  • Bryan Heynen 90' goal
  • Daniel Munoz 90'+5' goal
  • Andi Zeqiri 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florian Miguel 10'
  • yellowcard Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 56'
  • yellowcard Nathan Opoku 80'
  • goal Jonatan Braut Brunes 85'
  • yellowcard Siebe Schrijvers 89'