Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.