Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Apr 21, 2026 7.30pm
Luminus Arena

Genk vs Charleroi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
Genk 0 - 0 Leuven
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Daan Heymans

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm
Charleroi 2 - 1 Antwerp
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Aurelien Scheidler

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Genk win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Charleroi has a probability of 24.58% and a draw has a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Charleroi win is 0-1 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).

Result

Genk 51.19% (-0.75)
Draw 24.23% (-0.04)
Charleroi 24.58% (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.77% (+1.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.58% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.42% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 52.68% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.32% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.57% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.43% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.59% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.41% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Genk 35.61% (-1.18)
Draw 41.8% (+0.92)
Charleroi 22.58% (+0.24)

Team To Score First

Genk 53.05% (-2.25)
No Goal 6.23% (-0.04)
Charleroi 40.72% (+2.29)

Corners

Over 8 67.17% (+1.44)
Equal 8 10.65% (-0.04)
Under 8 22.19% (-1.39)
Over 9 55.41% (+1.32)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.12)
Under 9 32.83% (-1.45)
Over 10.5 43.6% (+1.08)
Under 10.5 56.41% (-1.07)

Genk Goals

Over 1.5 49.17% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 50.83% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 23.47% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 76.53% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 9.08% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 90.92% (+0.13)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5 60.88% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 39.12% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 27.29% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 72.71% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 9.08% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 90.92% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 2.44% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.56% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Genk 51.19%
Draw 24.23%
Charleroi 24.59%
Genk
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.05)
Other @ 9.01% (-0.09)
Total : 51.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.04)
Total : 24.23%
Charleroi
0-1 @ 6.77% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 6.22% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.65% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.01% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.37% (+0.10)
Total : 24.59%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cheick Keita 23' yellowcard
  • Yacine Titraoui 42' goal
  • Yacine Titraoui 73' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 89' goal
  • goal Bryan Heynen 14'
  • goal Bryan Heynen 69'
Belgian Pro League
Sep 17, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Parfait Guiagon 30' yellowcard
  • Adem Zorgane 74' yellowcard
  • Daan Heymans 89' goal
  • Isaac Mbenza 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matte Smets 27'
  • goal Tolu Arokodare 71'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 15
Nov 23, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Nikolas Sattlberger 46' yellowcard
  • Thorsten Fink 51' yellowcard
  • Tolu Arokodare 77' goal
  • Jarne Steuckers 83' goal
  • Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 90' goal
  • yellowcard Aiham Ousou 54'
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 64'
  • yellowcard Rik De Mil 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 90'+1'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 27
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Youssuf Sylla 44' yellowcard
  • Marco Ilaimaharitra 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tolu Arokodare 45'+1'
  • goal Yira Sor 71'
  • yellowcard Bilal El Khannous 90'+3'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena