Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.