Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.