Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.26% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.