Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.