Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (10.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.