Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.