Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
May 19, 2026 7.30pm
Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Charleroi vs Leuven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.00pm
Charleroi 0 - 1 Westerlo
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Aurelien Scheidler

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 15, 2026 7.45pm
Leuven 3 - 0 Antwerp
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Sory Kaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Charleroi win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw has a probability of 25.22% and a win for Leuven has a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Leuven win it is 0-1 (7.1%).

Result

Charleroi 49.99% (+0.21)
Draw 25.22% (-0.25)
Leuven 24.79% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.19% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.36% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 24.64% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 51.1% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.17% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.83% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.38% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 84.62% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Charleroi 37.39% (+1.47)
Draw 41.04% (-1.40)
Leuven 21.57% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Charleroi 57.34% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.68% (+0.07)
Leuven 35.98% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 68.07% (+0.94)
Equal 8 10.37% (-0.25)
Under 8 21.56% (-0.70)
Over 9 56.55% (+1.15)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.22)
Under 9 31.93% (-0.94)
Over 10.5 44.88% (+1.27)
Under 10.5 55.12% (-1.27)

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 47.45% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 52.55% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 21.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.69% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.6% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 92.4% (+0.19)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5 61.68% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 38.32% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 27.17% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 72.83% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 8.45% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 91.55% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.13% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.87% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Charleroi 50%
Draw 25.22%
Leuven 24.8%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 10.28% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.58% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.15% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.09)
Other @ 7.56% (-0.16)
Total : 50%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 6.68% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.04)
Total : 25.22%
Leuven
0-1 @ 7.1% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.68% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.09% (-0.04)
Total : 24.8%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Lukasz Lakomy 46' yellowcard
  • Óscar Gil 46' yellowcard
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 77' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Maertens 77' yellowcard
  • Kyan Vaesen 77' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Bernier 53'
  • yellowcard Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 59'
  • yellowcard Aurélien Scheidler 59'
  • goal Aurélien Scheidler 69'
  • yellowcard Y. Cisse 80'
  • yellowcard Jules Gaudin 86'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Boukamir 86'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Antoine Colassin 65' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 83' yellowcard
  • Filip Szymczak 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wouter George 46'
  • yellowcard Thibaud Verlinden 46'
  • goal Óscar Gil 70'
  • goal Noë Dussenne 74'
  • yellowcard Takuma Ominami 80'
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 80'
  • yellowcard Bryang Kayo 80'
  • yellowcard Sory Kaba 89'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 25' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 29' goal
  • Alexandre Stanic 88' goal
  • goal Yacine Titraoui 43' (OG)
  • yellowcard Thibault Vlietinck 75'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 41' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 46' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 58' redcard
  • Oscar Gil 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 9'
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 63'
  • goal 84'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 18
Dec 14, 2024 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Konan N'dri 61' goal
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 63' yellowcard
  • Federico Ricca 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Parfait Guiagon 31'
  • yellowcard Stelios Andreou 46'
  • redcard Stelios Andreou 79'
  • redcard Oday Dabbagh 90'+8'