Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.23% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.