Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 23, 2026 7.45pm
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 19, 2026 7.30pm
Charleroi 1 - 1 Leuven
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Sory Kaba

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 19, 2026 7.30pm
Genk 0 - 0 Antwerp
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Daan Heymans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Genk win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Leuven has a probability of 29.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Leuven win is 2-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.64%).

Result

Leuven 29.96% (-0.47)
Draw 25.5% (-0.24)
Genk 44.5% (+0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.06% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.98% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 22.02% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 55.21% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 44.79% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 32.67% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 67.33% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 18.45% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 81.55% (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Leuven 27.4% (-0.23)
Draw 39.95% (-0.04)
Genk 32.64% (+0.25)

Team To Score First

Leuven 41.48% (-0.32)
No Goal 5.88% (-0.12)
Genk 52.64% (+0.43)

Corners

Over 8 63.87% (+0.26)
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 24.93% (-0.25)
Over 9 51.84% (+0.24)
Equal 9 12.03% (+0.03)
Under 9 36.13% (-0.26)
Over 10.5 40.08% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 59.92% (-0.18)

Leuven Goals

Over 1.5 34.03% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 65.97% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 12.76% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 87.24% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.9% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.1% (+0.02)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 77.05% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 22.95% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 46.02% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 53.98% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 20.92% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 79.08% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 7.62% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 92.38% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Leuven 29.95%
Draw 25.51%
Genk 44.5%
Leuven
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.64% (-0.03)
Total : 29.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.02)
Total : 25.51%
Genk
1-2 @ 9.58% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 8.89%
0-2 @ 6.84% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.86% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.67% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.3% (+0.08)
Other @ 7.36% (+0.28)
Total : 44.5%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Aaron Bibout 46' yellowcard
  • Yaimar Medina 46' yellowcard
  • Joris Kayembe 65' yellowcard
  • Jarne Steuckers 65' yellowcard
  • Ayumu Yokoyama 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thibaud Verlinden 69'
  • yellowcard Lukasz Lakomy 69'
  • yellowcard Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 82'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Maertens 82'
Belgian Pro League
Nov 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mujaid 50' goal
  • Daan Heymans 81' goal
  • yellowcard Henok Teklab 14'
  • yellowcard Noe Dussenne 38'
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 68'
  • goal Sory Kaba 78'
Belgian Pro League
Aug 15, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Matte Smets 6' redcard
  • Jarne Steuckers 48' goal
  • Hyun-Gyu Oh 84' goal
  • Carlos Cuesta 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youssef Maziz 30'
  • yellowcard Takahiro Akimoto 40'
  • yellowcard Hasan Kurucay 45'
  • yellowcard Tobe Leysen 83'
  • yellowcard Manuel Osifo 90'+6'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 2
Aug 3, 2024 5.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Youssef Maziz 21' goal
  • Takahiro Akimoto 21' yellowcard
  • Thibault Vlietinck 35' goal
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 70' yellowcard
  • Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 35'
  • yellowcard Alieu Fadera 45'+2'
  • goal Tolu Arokodare 61'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2024 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 47' yellowcard
  • Siebe Schrijvers 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Siebe Schrijvers 80' goal
  • Ewoud Pletinckx 90' goal
  • yellowcard Patrik Hrosovsky 22'
  • yellowcard Joseph Paintsil 45'+3'
  • goal Federico Ricca 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 79'
  • yellowcard Carlos Cuesta 82'
  • yellowcard Zakaria El Ouahdi 82'