Belgian Pro League Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Charleroi vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 5.15pm
Kortrijk 1 - 3 Charleroi
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.30pm
Sint-Truiden 0 - 3 Union SG
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Raul Florucz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Charleroi win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Union SG has a probability of 33.58% and a draw has a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win is 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Union SG win is 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result

Charleroi 39.78% (-0.77)
Draw 26.64% (+0.40)
Union SG 33.58% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.83% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.03% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 20.97% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 56.67% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 43.33% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.01% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 65.99% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 19.44% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 80.56% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Charleroi 32.26% (+0.08)
Draw 40.38% (-1.19)
Union SG 27.36% (+1.11)

Team To Score First

Charleroi 48.93% (-0.25)
No Goal 6.02% (+0.08)
Union SG 45.05% (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 63.23% (-1.22)
Equal 8 10.73% (+0.07)
Under 8 26.03% (+1.15)
Over 9 51.81% (-1.16)
Equal 9 11.42% (-0.06)
Under 9 36.77% (+1.22)
Over 10.5 40.67% (-1.01)
Under 10.5 59.33% (+1.01)

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 43.46% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 56.54% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 19.02% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 80.98% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 6.9% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 93.1% (-0.11)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 70.27% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 29.73% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 38.44% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 61.56% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 16.18% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 83.82% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 5.6% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 94.4% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Charleroi 39.76%
Draw 26.63%
Union SG 33.57%
Charleroi
2-1 @ 9% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.17)
Other @ 6.48% (-0.02)
Total : 39.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 6.76% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.02% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.42% (+0.12)
Total : 26.63%
Union SG
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.74% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.6% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.7% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.17)
Other @ 5.18% (+0.02)
Total : 33.57%

Head to Head

Belgian Cup
Feb 11, 2026 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Joseph Mariën
  • Promise Akinpelu 1' goal
  • Promise David 1' goal
  • Mohammed Fuseini 50' goal
  • Mateo Biondic 74' yellowcard
  • Louis Patris 80' yellowcard
  • Rob Schoofs 80' yellowcard
  • Ross Sykes 84' goal
  • Raul Florucz 90' yellowcard
  • Fedde Leysen 90' yellowcard
  • Raul Florucz 90'+3' goal
  • goal Aurelien Scheidler 3'
  • goal Aurélien Scheidler 3'
  • yellowcard Lewin Blum 59'
  • yellowcard Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 71'
  • yellowcard Filip Szymczak 71'
Belgian Cup
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Lewin Blum 67' yellowcard
  • Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vic Chambaere 23'
  • yellowcard Rob Schoofs 61'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Fuseini 62'
  • yellowcard Rob Schoofs 62'
  • yellowcard Fedde Leysen 74'
  • yellowcard Raul Florucz 74'
  • yellowcard Raul Florucz 76'
Belgian Pro League
Dec 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Antoine Colassin 81' goal
  • Antoine Bernier 84' yellowcard
  • goal Promise Akinpelu 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin Mac Allister 48'
  • yellowcard Ross Sykes 90'+3'
Belgian Pro League
Oct 18, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 13' goal
  • Jeremy Petris 38' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 49' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 65' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charles Vanhoutte 22'
  • yellowcard Promise Akinpelu 42'
  • goal Alessio Castro-Montes 59'
  • goal Franjo Ivanovic 63'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 71'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Anthony Moris 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Fuseini 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kone 34'
  • yellowcard Cheick Keita 46'
  • yellowcard Etienne Camara 48'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Petris 53'