Belgian Pro League
Aug 22, 2026 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Aiham Ousou  35' goal
  • Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 77' goal

Charleroi vs Mechelen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 6.15pm
Lommel United 0 - 1 Charleroi
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof

Mechelen

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 5.30pm
Mechelen 3 - 3 Standard Liege
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Myron van Brederode

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 23.64% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.4%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Charleroi 53% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 23.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Mechelen 23.36% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 46.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.16% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Charleroi 39.38%
Draw 41.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Mechelen 19.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Charleroi 60.98%
No Goal 6.39%
Mechelen 32.63%

Corners

Over 8 62.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 26.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 50.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 37.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 39.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 50.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 24.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 75.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5 59.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.63%
Under 1.5 73.37%
Over 2.5 8.85%
Under 2.5 91.15%
Over 3.5 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Charleroi 52.99%
Draw 23.65%
Mechelen 23.36%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 10.4%
2-0 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 52.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.65%
Mechelen
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 23.36%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Dec 7, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Therence Koudou 15' goal
  • Ian Struyf 29' yellowcard
  • Kerim Mrabti 35' yellowcard
  • Myron van Brederode 71' yellowcard
  • Therence Koudou 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aurelien Scheidler 84'
  • yellowcard Filip Szymczak 90'+4'
Belgian Cup
Dec 4, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Parfait Guiagon 51' goal
  • Mardochee Nzita 67' yellowcard
  • Mardochee Nzita 74' goal
  • Etienne Camara 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moncef Zekri 50'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Hammar 90'
Belgian Pro League
Sep 28, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Lion Lauberbach 78' goal
  • Fredrik Hammar 88' yellowcard
  • goal Yacine Titraoui 28'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 5.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 16' goal
  • Daan Heymans 20' goal
  • Massamba Sow 28' yellowcard
  • Nikola Stulic 62' goal
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 29
Mar 8, 2025 5.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Yacine Titraoui 50' yellowcard
  • goal Benito Raman 1'
  • yellowcard Lion Lauberbach 53'
  • yellowcard Lion Lauberbach 53'
  • yellowcard Ortwin De Wolf 84'