Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.