Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.