Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.