Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Gent had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.