La Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 5.30pm
Elche 0 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Umar Sadiq

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 3.15pm
Racing 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw has a probability of 20.14% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.54%) , while for a Valencia win it is 1-0 (4.28%).

Result

Valencia 14.34% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 20.14% ▼ (-0.38)
Real Madrid 65.56% ▲ (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.27% ▼ (-0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.34% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 21.66% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 56.02% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 43.98% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 34.74% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 65.23% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 22.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.25% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Valencia 16.01% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 37.46% ▲ (+0.37)
Real Madrid 46.52% ▼ (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Valencia 27.12% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 5.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Real Madrid 67.02% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 55.38% ▼ (-4.08)
Equal 8 11.29% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 8 33.32% ▲ (+3.81)
Over 9 44.09% ▼ (-4.00)
Equal 9 11.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 44.62% ▲ (+4.08)
Over 10.5 33.68% ▼ (-3.64)
Under 10.5 66.32% ▲ (+3.63)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 18.92% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 81.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 5.94% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 94.06% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 1.67% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 98.33% ▼ (-0.11)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 86.16% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 13.84% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 61.04% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 38.96% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 2.5 34.29% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 65.71% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 15.75% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 84.25% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

Valencia 14.33%
Draw 20.14%
Real Madrid 65.56%
Valencia
1-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 14.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.14%
Real Madrid
0-2 @ 11.9% ▲ (+0.25)
0-1 @ 11.55% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.29)
1-3 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 15.5% ▼ (-0.19)
Total : 65.56%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Thierry Correia 72' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodriguez 72' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodríguez 72' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 73' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodriguez 73' yellowcard
  • Javi Guerra 81' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 81' yellowcard
  • Umar Sadiq 82' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 82' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Fernandez 65'
  • goal Álvaro Carreras  65'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 76'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 76'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold  76'
  • yellowcard Brahim Díaz 76'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 82'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 90'+1'
  • goal Kylian Mbappé 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cestero Sancho 90'+2'
La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 5, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Carlo Ancelotti 22' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 50' goal
  • yellowcard Cesar Tarrega 10'
  • goal Mouctar Diakhaby 15'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 46'
  • goal Hugo Duro 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Sergi Canos 69' yellowcard
  • Stole Dimitrievski 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 78'
  • redcard Vinicius Junior 79'
  • goal Luka Modric 85'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 87'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Roman Yaremchuk 4' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 30' goal
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 72'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 76'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 80'
  • yellowcard Joselu 90'+10'
  • redcard Jude Bellingham 90'+10'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Dani Carvajal 3' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 49' goal
  • Rodrygo 50' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pepelu 34'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Paulista 67'
  • goal Hugo Duro 88'