La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 3 Elche
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Sergio Camello

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 3.15pm
Celta Vigo 0 - 0 Betis
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 34.58%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 34.33% and a draw has a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (6.96%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (11.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 34.33% ▼ (-1.36)
Draw 31.1% ▼ (-0.97)
Celta Vigo 34.58% ▲ (+2.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.94% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.06% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 1.5 36.94% ▼ (-1.16)
Over 2.5 37.74% ▲ (+1.64)
Under 2.5 62.26% ▼ (-1.64)
Over 3.5 19.16% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 3.5 80.85% ▼ (-1.22)
Over 4.5 9.52% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 4.5 90.48% ▼ (-0.79)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 28.08% ▼ (-1.86)
Draw 46.87% ▼ (-2.59)
Celta Vigo 25.05% ▲ (+4.43)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 45.08% ▼ (-2.85)
No Goal 12.83% ▼ (-0.53)
Celta Vigo 42.09% ▲ (+3.38)

Corners

Over 8 53.58% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 8 12.11% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 8 34.31% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 9 41.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.94% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 9 46.42% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 10.5 30.85% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 10.5 69.15% ▲ (+0.33)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 29.28% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 70.72% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 10.45% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 89.55% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 2.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.1% ▼ (-0.04)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 64.32% ▲ (+1.82)
Under 0.5 35.68% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 1.5 29.36% ▲ (+2.47)
Under 1.5 70.64% ▼ (-2.47)
Over 2.5 9.93% ▲ (+1.19)
Under 2.5 90.07% ▼ (-1.20)
Over 3.5 2.71% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 97.29% ▼ (-0.40)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 34.32%
Draw 31.1%
Celta Vigo 34.58%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.88% ▼ (-0.76)
2-1 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.56)
3-1 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 34.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13% ▼ (-0.58)
0-0 @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.53)
2-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 31.1%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 12.23% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.43)
0-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.63)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.28)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.37)
Total : 34.58%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 18, 2026 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Sergio Carreira 40' goal
  • Bryan Zaragoza 54' yellowcard
  • Miguel Roman Gonzalez 62' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 62' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 63' yellowcard
  • Miguel Roman Gonzalez 63' yellowcard
  • Miguel Román 63' yellowcard
  • Manuel Fernández Arroyo 71' yellowcard
  • Javier Rueda Garcia 71' yellowcard
  • Javi Rueda 71' yellowcard
  • Manu Fernández 71' yellowcard
  • Javier Rueda Garcia 79' goal
  • Javi Rueda 79' goal
  • Carlos Dominguez 83' yellowcard
  • Hugo Garcia Hoz 83' yellowcard
  • Hugo Burcio 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexandre Alemao 61'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 61'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 61'
  • yellowcard Jozhua Vertrouwd 68'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 78'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 78'
  • yellowcard Fran Pérez 78'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 79'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 79'
La Liga
Sep 21, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Marcos Alonso 10' goal
  • Marcos Alonso 32' yellowcard
  • Yoel Lago Amil 68' yellowcard
  • goal Isi 17'
  • goal Jorge de Frutos 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 57'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 68'
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Adri Embarba 5' goal
  • Pathe Ciss 21' yellowcard
  • Abdul Mumin 27' yellowcard
  • Jorge de Frutos 63' goal
  • goal Borja Iglesias 26'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 37'
  • yellowcard Franco Cervi 43'
  • redcard Marcos Alonso 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Iago Aspas 69' yellowcard
  • Carlos Dominguez 83' yellowcard
  • Carles Perez 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 3'
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 44'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 71'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • 10' goal
  • Oscar Valentin 68' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 73' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 83' yellowcard