La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 24, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2026 8.00pm
Getafe 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Sergio Camello

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.15pm
Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Fer Niño

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw has a probability of 27.94% and a win for Elche has a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Elche win it is 0-1 (8.57%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 50.01% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 27.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Elche 22.05% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.39% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 34.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 41.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 58.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 21.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 11.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.26% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 39.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 41.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Elche 18.79% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 56.81%
No Goal 11.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Elche 31.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.51% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 27.32% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 9 49.79% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 38.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 38.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 61.47% ▲ (+0.13)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 41.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.4%
Under 3.5 93.6%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 54.1% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 45.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 20.3% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 79.7% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 50%
Draw 27.95%
Elche 22.05%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.35%
2-0 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 50%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.95%
Elche
0-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.05%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Pedro Díaz 66' yellowcard
  • Randy Nteka 66' yellowcard
  • Randy Nteka 74' goal
  • Sergio Camello 83' yellowcard
  • Sergio Camello 84' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 84' yellowcard
  • Carlos Martín 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrià Pedrosa 46'
  • yellowcard André Silva 76'
  • yellowcard André Silva 77'
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 77'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Villar 77'
  • yellowcard Yago Santiago 83'
La Liga
Dec 21, 2025 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hector Fort 6' goal
  • Alvaro 67' goal
  • German Valera 70' goal
  • Aleix Febas 79' yellowcard
  • Josan 84' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Nobel Mendy 22'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 57'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 82'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 3.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Tete Morente 45'+1' goal
  • Lucas Boye 52' goal
  • Fidel 53' goal
  • Gerard Gumbau 72' goal
La Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Sergio Camello 40' goal
  • Unai Lopez 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lucas Boye 32'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raul Guti 32' yellowcard
  • Guido Carrillo 76' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 84' goal
  • Johan Mojica 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 7'
  • goal Fran Garcia 52'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 68'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sylla 72'
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 75'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2021 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mario Hernandez 26' goal
  • Randy Nteka 65' goal
  • Unai Lopez 81' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Garcia 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Boye 14'
  • yellowcard Gerard Gumbau 28'
  • yellowcard Kiko Casilla 90'+4'