La Liga Gameweek 7
Osasuna
Sep 19, 2026 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
Rayo Vallecano
  • Ante Budimir 16' goal
  • Asier Osambela 21' yellowcard
  • Jon Moncayola 66' yellowcard
  • Jon Moncayola 67' yellowcard
  • Sergio Herrera 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pathé Ciss 24'
  • goal Sergio Camello 50'
  • yellowcard Alemão 90'+6'

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 6.00pm
Atletico 4 - 0 Osasuna
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 6.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Espanyol
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Sergio Camello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Osasuna 49.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 24.3% ▲ (+0.11)
Rayo Vallecano 25.86% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.79% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 21.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 55.21% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 44.79% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 32.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 67.74% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 18.8% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 81.2% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Osasuna 35.86% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 43.29% ▲ (+0.37)
Rayo Vallecano 20.85% ▼ (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Osasuna 56.76% ▲ (+0.12)
No Goal 6.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Rayo Vallecano 37.16% ▼ (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 53.25% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 35.07% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 41.76% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 46.75% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 31.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 68.64% ▲ (+0.08)

Osasuna Goals

Over 1.5 49.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 50.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 23.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 76.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 37.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 29.71% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 70.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 10.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 89.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Osasuna 49.84%
Draw 24.3%
Rayo Vallecano 25.86%
Osasuna
2-1 @ 10.13% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 49.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.3%
Rayo Vallecano
1-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.86%

Head to Head

La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Jan 24, 2026 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Osasuna
  • Ilias Akhomach 46' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Zurawski 46' yellowcard
  • Pathé Ciss 59' goal
  • Sergio Camello 72' yellowcard
  • Jozhua Vertrouwd 72' yellowcard
  • Fran Pérez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ante Budimir 29'
  • yellowcard Asier Osambela 67'
  • yellowcard Abel Bretones 81'
  • yellowcard Raúl García 81'
  • goal Jozhua Vertrouwd 90'+1' (OG)
  • goal Asier Osambela 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Lucas Torró 90'+4'
La Liga
Osasuna
Sep 14, 2025 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga Gameweek 20
Osasuna
Jan 19, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio El Sadar
Rayo Vallecano
  • Pablo Ibanez 40' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 59' goal
  • Jon Moncayola 72' yellowcard
  • Jesus Areso 81' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Camello 19'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 38'
  • yellowcard Augusto Batalla 84'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 16, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Osasuna
  • Abdul Mumin 50' goal
  • Sergio Camello 59' yellowcard
  • Andrei Ratiu 66' goal
  • Abdul Mumin 78' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 89' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Bryan Zaragoza 19'
  • yellowcard Vicente Moreno 20'
  • goal Raul Garcia 27'
  • yellowcard Jon Moncayola 42'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Rayo Vallecano
Apr 20, 2024 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Osasuna
  • Oscar Valentin 45' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 46' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 51' yellowcard
  • Pep Chavarria 80' goal
  • Isi 84' goal
  • Isi 86' yellowcard
  • goal Moi Gomez 29'
  • yellowcard Iker Munoz 48'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Osasuna
Dec 15, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))
Rayo Vallecano
  • Jose Arnaiz 74' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+5' goal
  • Raul Garcia 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 40'
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 55'
  • yellowcard Kike Perez 55'

Form Data

Atletico 4 - 0 Osasuna
Osasuna 0 - 2 Espanyol
Alaves 5 - 2 Osasuna
Osasuna 1 - 0 Getafe
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna
Osasuna 0 - 0 Levante
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Espanyol
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 2 Racing
Barcelona 5 - 2 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Alaves
Sevilla 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano