La Liga Gameweek 35
Atletico
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Sociedad
  • Alexander Sorloth 7' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 10' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 11' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 30' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 54'

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 1.00pm
Alaves 0 - 0 Atletico
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 55.77% ▲ (+0.35)
Draw 22.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Real Sociedad 21.45% ▼ (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.6% ▼ (-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.04% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 44.97% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 3.5 32.68% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 3.5 67.32% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 4.5 16.57% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 4.5 83.44% ▲ (+0.48)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 84.04% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 15.96% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 54.75% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 45.25% ▲ (+0.23)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 64.97% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 0.5 35.03% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 1.5 28.23% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 1.5 71.77% ▲ (+0.80)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.76%
Draw 22.78%
Real Sociedad 21.45%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.78%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.45%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 9
Real Sociedad
Oct 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
Atletico
  • Luka Sucic 84' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 55'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 80'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 88'
La Liga Gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
May 25, 2024 3.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
Atletico
  • Jon Pacheco 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brais Mendez 57' yellowcard
  • Jon Ander Olasagasti 90' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Lino 9'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 41'
  • yellowcard Koke 45'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 80'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 87'
  • redcard Saul Niguez 90'+1'
  • goal Reinildo Mandava 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Atletico
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Sociedad
  • Samuel Lino 22' goal
  • Koke 48' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 89' goal
  • Javi Galan 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 15'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 73'
  • yellowcard Hamari Traore 86'
  • yellowcard Carlos Fernandez 87'
Club Friendlies 1
Atletico
Aug 3, 2023 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Real Sociedad
  • Mario Hermoso 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 14'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 33'
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 54'
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 54'+54'
La Liga Gameweek 37
Atletico
May 28, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Real Sociedad
  • Antoine Griezmann 37' goal
  • Nahuel Molina 73' goal
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 88'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
Atletico
  • Martin Zubimendi 28' yellowcard
  • Mohamed-Ali Cho 35' yellowcard
  • Umar Sadiq 55' goal
  • Igor Zubeldia 57' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 72' yellowcard
  • Mikel Merino 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Morata 5'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 12'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 24'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 35'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 61'

Form Data

Alaves 0 - 0 Atletico
Atletico 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas 1 - 0 Atletico
Atletico 4 - 2 Valladolid
Sevilla 1 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 0 - 1 Barcelona
Real Sociedad 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Villarreal 2 - 2 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Mallorca
Las Palmas 1 - 3 Real Sociedad
Real Madrid 4 - 4 Real Sociedad