J1 League
Sep 6, 2026 10.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Ryuji Izumi  43' yellowcard
  • Henry Heroki Mochizuki 55' goal
  • Tomoki Takamine 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takahiro Akimoto 46'
  • goal Ryohei Shirasaki 45'+7'
  • goal Alexandre Pisano 75' (OG)
  • goal Yusuke Matsuo 90'+7'

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
Hiroshima 3 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
Machida Zelvia 2 - 1 Kawasaki
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Yuki Soma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Nagoya Grampus has a probability of 31.22% and a draw has a probability of 29.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win is 1-0 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.53%).

Result

Nagoya Grampus 31.22% (-0.02)
Draw 29.37% (-0.03)
Machida Zelvia 39.41% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.94% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.08% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 28.92% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 45.54% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 54.46% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 23.83% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 76.14% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 12.14% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.86% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Nagoya Grampus 24.83% (+0.02)
Draw 44.3% (-0.15)
Machida Zelvia 30.87% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Nagoya Grampus 44.68% (-0.11)
No Goal 9.08% (+0.02)
Machida Zelvia 46.24% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 52.63% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.64% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.72% (-0.11)
Over 9 41.24% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 47.37% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 30.99% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 69.01% (-0.10)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 1.5 30.64% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 69.36% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 10.65% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 89.35% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.03% (+0.04)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 71.46% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.54% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 37.48% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.52% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.6% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 85.4% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.6% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.4% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 31.23%
Draw 29.37%
Machida Zelvia 39.41%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.35% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.71% (-0.03)
Total : 31.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.53% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.08% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 29.37%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 10.5% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.34% (-0.03)
Total : 39.41%

Head to Head

J1 League
Nov 30, 2025 5.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mitchell Duke 42' goal
  • Hotaka Nakamura 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Hotaka Nakamura 50' goal
  • Mitchell Duke 51' yellowcard
  • Gen Shoji 72' goal
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuki Nogami 42'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 61'
J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 2, 2025 5.00am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Yota Sato 20' goal
  • Yota Sato 20' goal
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 13'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 13'
  • goal Sangho Na 74'
  • goal Sangho Na 74'
  • yellowcard Kanji Kuwayama 82'
  • yellowcard Kanji Kuwayama 82'
  • yellowcard Ryohei Shirasaki 88'
  • yellowcard Ryohei Shirasaki 88'
J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 10.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Hokuto Shimoda 30' goal
  • Gen Shoji 43' yellowcard
  • Kazuki Fujimoto 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keiya Shiihashi 14'
  • yellowcard Patric 90'+6'
J1 League Gameweek 2
Mar 2, 2024 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Ha Chang-Rae 46' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 46' yellowcard
  • Ha Chang-Rae 46' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 46' yellowcard
  • Yuki Nogami 54' yellowcard
  • Yuki Nogami 54' yellowcard
  • Ken Masui 79' yellowcard
  • Ken Masui 79' yellowcard
  • Takuji Yonemoto 87' redcard
  • Takuji Yonemoto 87' redcard
  • goal Shota Fujio 21'
  • goal Shota Fujio 21'
  • yellowcard Min-kyu Jang 39'
  • yellowcard Min-kyu Jang 39'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 55'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 55'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 82'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 82'