J1 League Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2026 11.30am
Grenada National Stadium

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
JEF United 0 - 4 Machida Zelvia

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
Urawa 1 - 4 Hiroshima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw has a probability of 27.2% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.52%) , while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it is 0-1 (8.36%).

Result

Machida Zelvia 46.5%
Draw 27.2%
Urawa Red Diamonds 26.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.78% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.99%
Under 1.5 30.01%
Over 2.5 45%
Under 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 23.62% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 76.38% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.69%
Under 4.5 87.31%

First Half Winner

Machida Zelvia 28.95%
Draw 48.84%
Urawa Red Diamonds 22.2%

Team To Score First

Machida Zelvia 50.57% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.2% (-0.02)
Urawa Red Diamonds 40.23%

Corners

Over 8 48.74%
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 39.16%
Over 9 37.25%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 51.26%
Over 10.5 27.23%
Under 10.5 72.77%

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 41.1% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.9% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.1%
Under 2.5 82.9%
Over 3.5 5.7%
Under 3.5 94.3%

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5 60.08% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.71% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.29% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.52% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.48% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.42%
Under 3.5 97.58%

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 46.5%
Draw 27.19%
Urawa Red Diamonds 26.31%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 12.45% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46%
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 5.63%
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.19%
Urawa Red Diamonds
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 26.31%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 25, 2025 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 13, 2025 6.00am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Shota Fujio 70' yellowcard
  • Shota Fujio 70' yellowcard
  • Hokuto Shimoda 71' yellowcard
  • Hokuto Shimoda 71' yellowcard
  • goal Marius Hoibraten 15'
  • goal Marius Hoibraten 15'
  • goal Yusuke Matsuo 38'
  • goal Yusuke Matsuo 38'
J1 League Gameweek 29
Aug 31, 2024 10.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Se-Hun Oh 49' goal
  • Erik Lima 90'+8' goal
  • goal Takahiro Sekine 37'
  • goal Thiago 87'
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 26, 2024 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Atsuki Ito 54' goal
  • Alexander Scholz 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keiya Sento 35'
  • goal Yu Hirakawa 52'
  • yellowcard Hokuto Shimoda 83'
  • goal Hokuto Shimoda 90'+6'