J1 League
Aug 23, 2026 11.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Hotaka Nakamura 8' goal
  • Takuma Nishimura 54' goal
  • Neta Lavi 60' goal
  • goal Ryoma Watanabe  45'+1'
  • yellowcard Yoichi Naganuma 83'

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
JEF United 0 - 4 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Tete Yengi

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
Urawa 1 - 4 Hiroshima
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Hiiro Komori

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 26.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%) , while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Machida Zelvia 46.16% ▼ (-0.35)
Draw 27% ▼ (-0.20)
Urawa Red Diamonds 26.84% ▲ (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.51% ▲ (+0.73)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.66% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 29.34% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 2.5 45.84% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 2.5 54.17% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 3.5 24.38% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 3.5 75.62% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 4.5 13.2% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 4.5 86.8% ▼ (-0.52)

First Half Winner

Machida Zelvia 28.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 48.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Urawa Red Diamonds 22.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Machida Zelvia 50.78% ▲ (+0.22)
No Goal 8.93% ▼ (-0.27)
Urawa Red Diamonds 40.29% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 48.54% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 12.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 39.37% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 37.09% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 51.45% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 10.5 27.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 72.89% ▲ (+0.13)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 41.32% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 58.68% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 17.28% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 82.72% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 5.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 94.2% ▼ (-0.10)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5 60.78% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 0.5 39.22% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 1.5 26.55% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 1.5 73.45% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 2.5 9% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 91% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 2.62% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 97.38% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 46.16%
Draw 27%
Urawa Red Diamonds 26.83%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 12.14% ▼ (-0.31)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 46.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27%
Urawa Red Diamonds
0-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 26.83%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 25, 2025 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 13, 2025 6.00am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Shota Fujio 70' yellowcard
  • Shota Fujio 70' yellowcard
  • Hokuto Shimoda 71' yellowcard
  • Hokuto Shimoda 71' yellowcard
  • goal Marius Hoibraten 15'
  • goal Marius Hoibraten 15'
  • goal Yusuke Matsuo 38'
  • goal Yusuke Matsuo 38'
J1 League Gameweek 29
Aug 31, 2024 10.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Se-Hun Oh 49' goal
  • Erik Lima 90'+8' goal
  • goal Takahiro Sekine 37'
  • goal Thiago 87'
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 26, 2024 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Atsuki Ito 54' goal
  • Alexander Scholz 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keiya Sento 35'
  • goal Yu Hirakawa 52'
  • yellowcard Hokuto Shimoda 83'
  • goal Hokuto Shimoda 90'+6'