J1 League
Aug 29, 2026 10.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT K's denki Stadium Mito
  • Arata Watanabe 27' goal
  • goal Yuki Soma 33'
  • yellowcard Koki Ogawa   90'+5'

Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 1 - 3 Mito Hollyhock
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Arata Watanabe

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 11.30am
Machida Zelvia 3 - 1 Urawa
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Yuki Soma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw has a probability of 27.62% and a win for Mito Hollyhock has a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Mito Hollyhock win it is 1-0 (8.46%).

Result

Mito Hollyhock 23.22% (-4.25)
Draw 27.62% (-1.35)
Machida Zelvia 49.17% (+5.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.75% (-1.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.52% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 32.48% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 41.79% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 58.21% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 20.56% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 79.44% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 10.7% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 89.3% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Mito Hollyhock 16.59% (-3.49)
Draw 40.59% (-4.77)
Machida Zelvia 42.82% (+8.25)

Team To Score First

Mito Hollyhock 27.7% (-8.63)
No Goal 10.19% (-0.42)
Machida Zelvia 62.11% (+9.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.3% (+1.00)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.1% (-1.00)
Over 9 43.72% (+0.90)
Equal 9 11.57% (+0.09)
Under 9 44.7% (-1.00)
Over 10.5 33.11% (+0.73)
Under 10.5 66.89% (-0.74)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 1.5 21.61% (-3.29)
Under 1.5 78.39% (+3.29)
Over 2.5 5.98% (-1.77)
Under 2.5 94.02% (+1.77)
Over 3.5 1.24% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 98.76% (+0.54)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 74.87% (+3.11)
Under 0.5 25.13% (-3.11)
Over 1.5 41.45% (+4.03)
Under 1.5 58.55% (-4.03)
Over 2.5 17.03% (+2.41)
Under 2.5 82.97% (-2.41)
Over 3.5 6.08% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 93.92% (-0.86)

Score analysis

Mito Hollyhock 23.22%
Draw 27.61%
Machida Zelvia 49.17%
Mito Hollyhock
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.94)
2-1 @ 5.63% (-0.83)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.83)
3-1 @ 1.57% (-0.38)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.48)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.30)
Other @ 1.19% (-0.50)
Total : 23.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.78)
0-0 @ 10.19% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 27.61%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 13.83% (+1.08)
0-2 @ 9.62% (+1.40)
1-2 @ 9.27% (+0.56)
0-3 @ 4.77% (+0.90)
1-3 @ 3.83% (+0.54)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.20)
Other @ 6.03% (+0.90)
Total : 49.17%