J1 League
Aug 22, 2026 11.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
  • Ryuma Nakano 82' goal
  • goal Takumi Mase 17'
  • goal Yasuki Kimoto 31'
  • goal Chihiro Kato 68'

Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
Kawasaki 2 - 2 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 10.00am
Mito Hollyhock 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Chihiro Kato

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Mito Hollyhock had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Mito Hollyhock win was 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Kyoto Sanga 42.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 27.2%
Mito Hollyhock 30.43% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.63% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 47.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 52.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 25.41% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 74.59% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 13.8% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 86.2% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Kyoto Sanga 27.29% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 46.02% ▼ (-0.25)
Mito Hollyhock 26.69% ▲ (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Kyoto Sanga 46.59% ▲ (+0.29)
No Goal 8.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Mito Hollyhock 44.72% ▼ (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 56.59% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 31.78% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 44.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 43.41% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 33.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 66.02% ▼ (-0.05)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 1.5 39.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 60.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.06% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 83.94% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 94.67% ▲ (+0.08)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 0.5 63.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 36.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.33% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 69.67% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 11.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 88.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.49% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Kyoto Sanga 42.44%
Draw 27.19%
Mito Hollyhock 30.43%
Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.99% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 42.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.19%
Mito Hollyhock
0-1 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 30.43%