J1 League
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Sho Inagaki 43' goal
  • Yuya Asano 66' yellowcard
  • Yuya Yamagishi 67' yellowcard
  • Katsuhiro Nakayama 90'+1' goal
  • goal Yoshitake Suzuki 38'
  • yellowcard Sang-ho Na 60'
  • yellowcard Léo Gaúcho 70'
  • yellowcard Eiji Miyamoto 86'

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 11.00am
Nagoya Grampus 3 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 10.30am
Okayama 0 - 0 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Noah Kenshin Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Fagiano Okayama has a probability of 25.52% and a draw has a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win is 0-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.82%).

Result

Nagoya Grampus 49.72% (+3.86)
Draw 24.83% (-1.18)
Fagiano Okayama 25.52% (-2.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.18% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.45% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 25.55% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 50.02% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 49.98% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 28.08% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.92% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 15.53%
Under 4.5 84.47%

First Half Winner

Nagoya Grampus 34.55% (+2.68)
Draw 43.25% (-1.14)
Fagiano Okayama 22.2% (-1.57)

Team To Score First

Nagoya Grampus 54.76% (+2.43)
No Goal 7% (-0.30)
Fagiano Okayama 38.24% (-2.13)

Corners

Over 8 53.11% (-7.22)
Equal 8 11.43% (+0.36)
Under 8 35.46% (+6.86)
Over 9 41.87% (-6.96)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.26)
Under 9 46.89% (+7.22)
Over 10.5 31.68% (-6.17)
Under 10.5 68.31% (+6.16)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 1.5 46.26% (+2.52)
Under 1.5 53.74% (-2.52)
Over 2.5 20.86% (+1.74)
Under 2.5 79.14% (-1.74)
Over 3.5 7.43% (+0.68)
Under 3.5 92.57% (-0.69)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 61.27% (-2.33)
Under 0.5 38.73% (+2.33)
Over 1.5 27.13% (-2.52)
Under 1.5 72.87% (+2.52)
Over 2.5 8.81% (-1.59)
Under 2.5 91.19% (+1.60)
Over 3.5 2.51% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 97.49% (+0.60)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 49.71%
Draw 24.83%
Fagiano Okayama 25.52%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.29% (+0.64)
2-1 @ 9.81% (+0.39)
2-0 @ 8.67% (+0.83)
3-1 @ 5.19% (+0.62)
3-0 @ 4.44% (+0.49)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.15)
Other @ 7.39% (+0.78)
Total : 49.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.28)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.10)
Total : 24.83%
Fagiano Okayama
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.48)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.40)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.40)
Other @ 2.47% (-0.50)
Total : 25.52%

Head to Head

J1 League
Sep 13, 2025 10.55am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 6, 2025 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • yellowcard Hiroto Iwabuchi 12'
  • yellowcard Ryunosuke Sato 82'