J1 League
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Sho Inagaki 43' goal
  • Yuya Asano 66' yellowcard
  • Yuya Yamagishi 67' yellowcard
  • Katsuhiro Nakayama 90'+1' goal
  • goal Yoshitake Suzuki 38'
  • yellowcard Sang-ho Na 60'
  • yellowcard Léo Gaúcho 70'
  • yellowcard Eiji Miyamoto 86'

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 11.00am
Nagoya Grampus 3 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 10.30am
Okayama 0 - 0 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Noah Kenshin Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 0-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 49.72%
Draw 24.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Fagiano Okayama 25.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.21% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.08%
Under 3.5 71.92%
Over 4.5 15.53%
Under 4.5 84.47%

First Half Winner

Nagoya Grampus 34.55%
Draw 43.25%
Fagiano Okayama 22.2%

Team To Score First

Nagoya Grampus 54.77% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Fagiano Okayama 38.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.11%
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 35.46%
Over 9 41.87%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 46.89%
Over 10.5 31.68%
Under 10.5 68.31%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 1.5 46.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 20.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.43%
Under 3.5 92.57%

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 61.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 38.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 27.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 49.71%
Draw 24.78%
Fagiano Okayama 25.51%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 49.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.78%
Fagiano Okayama
0-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 25.51%

Head to Head

J1 League
Sep 13, 2025 10.55am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 6, 2025 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • yellowcard Hiroto Iwabuchi 12'
  • yellowcard Ryunosuke Sato 82'