J1 League
Aug 22, 2026 10.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • Hiroshi Omori 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryota Inoue 42'
  • yellowcard Shuhei Mizoguchi 56'

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 10.55am
Okayama 1 - 0 V-Varen Nagasaki

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 11.00am
Tokyo Verdy 1 - 3 Reysol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw has a probability of 28.12% and a win for Tokyo Verdy has a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Tokyo Verdy win it is 0-1 (9.04%).

Result

Fagiano Okayama 48.24% (-0.18)
Draw 28.12% (+0.20)
Tokyo Verdy 23.64% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.27% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.38% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 34.62% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 39.3% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 60.7% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 10.05% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 89.95% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Fagiano Okayama 30.8% (+0.13)
Draw 51.36% (+0.22)
Tokyo Verdy 17.84% (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Fagiano Okayama 55.88% (+0.25)
No Goal 10.98% (+0.27)
Tokyo Verdy 33.14% (-0.52)

Corners

Over 8 53.9% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.03% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.06% (-0.02)
Over 9 42% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 46.1% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 31.22% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 68.78% (-0.04)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 1.5 39.17% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 60.83% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 15.67% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 84.33% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 5.07% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 94.93% (+0.15)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5 55.88% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 44.12% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 21.13% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 78.87% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 5.59% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.41% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.31% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.69% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 48.24%
Draw 28.13%
Tokyo Verdy 23.64%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 14.61% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.06% (-0.15)
Total : 48.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.98% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.13%
Tokyo Verdy
0-1 @ 9.04% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.3% (-0.04)
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head

J1 League
Sep 20, 2025 10.00am
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2025 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • Ryo Tabei 20' yellowcard
  • Ryo Tabei 20' yellowcard
  • goal Yuto Tsunashima 66'
  • goal Yuto Tsunashima 66'