J1 League
Aug 22, 2026 10.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • Hiroshi Omori 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryota Inoue 42'
  • yellowcard Shuhei Mizoguchi 56'

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 10.55am
Okayama 1 - 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Noah Kenshin Browne

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 11.00am
Tokyo Verdy 1 - 3 Reysol
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
S. Mizoguchi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.12% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Fagiano Okayama 48.24% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 28.12% ▲ (+0.20)
Tokyo Verdy 23.64% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.27% ▼ (-0.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.38% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 34.62% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 39.3% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 60.7% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 19.46% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 80.54% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 4.5 10.05% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 89.95% ▲ (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Fagiano Okayama 30.8% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 51.36% ▲ (+0.22)
Tokyo Verdy 17.84% ▼ (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Fagiano Okayama 55.88% ▲ (+0.25)
No Goal 10.98% ▲ (+0.27)
Tokyo Verdy 33.14% ▼ (-0.52)

Corners

Over 8 53.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 34.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 42% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 46.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 31.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 68.78% ▼ (-0.04)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 1.5 39.17% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 60.83% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 15.67% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 84.33% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 5.07% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 94.93% ▲ (+0.15)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5 55.88% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 44.12% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 21.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 78.87% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 5.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 48.24%
Draw 28.13%
Tokyo Verdy 23.64%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 14.61% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 48.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.13%
Tokyo Verdy
0-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head

J1 League
Sep 20, 2025 10.00am
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2025 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • Ryo Tabei 20' yellowcard
  • Ryo Tabei 20' yellowcard
  • goal Yuto Tsunashima 66'
  • goal Yuto Tsunashima 66'