Club Friendlies 3
Jan 23, 2026 2.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy vs Roasso Kumamoto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 2.00am
Tokyo Verdy 3 - 4 Avispa Fukuoka

Roasso Kumamoto

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00am
Roasso Kumamoto 1 - 4 Nobeoka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Roasso Kumamoto had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.24%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Roasso Kumamoto win was 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Tokyo Verdy 47.93% (-0.07)
Draw 23.85% (+0.07)
Roasso Kumamoto 28.23% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.4% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.67% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.33% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 53.07% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 46.93% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 29.48% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.52% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.26% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.74% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Tokyo Verdy 28.3% (-0.27)
Draw 49.33% (+0.19)
Roasso Kumamoto 22.37% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Tokyo Verdy 52.53% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.62% (+0.01)
Roasso Kumamoto 40.85% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.61% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 25.48% (+0.02)
Over 9 51.99% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 36.39% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 40.67% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 59.33% (+0.01)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 1.5 45.27% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.73% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 20.9%
Under 2.5 79.1%
Over 3.5 6.98% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.02% (+0.01)

Roasso Kumamoto Goals

Over 0.5 64.43% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 35.57% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.78% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 69.22% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.42% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.58% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.67%
Under 3.5 96.33%

Score analysis

Tokyo Verdy 47.93%
Draw 23.86%
Roasso Kumamoto 28.22%
Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.24% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 6.97% (-0.02)
Total : 47.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.86%
Roasso Kumamoto
1-2 @ 7.4% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 28.22%