J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Koki Ogawa   75' goal
  • Koki Ogawa   81' goal
  • goal Yasuto Wakizaka  59'

Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.00am
Mito Hollyhock 1 - 1 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Yuki Soma

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Kawasaki 4 - 2 JEF United
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Marcinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Machida Zelvia 43.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Kawasaki Frontale 29.28% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.56% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 28.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 46.49% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 53.51% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 25.02% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 74.98% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.74% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Machida Zelvia 33.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 44.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Kawasaki Frontale 22.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Machida Zelvia 53.15% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 8.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Kawasaki Frontale 38.67% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 48% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.48%
Under 8 39.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 36.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 52% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 26.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 73.95% ▲ (+0.05)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 40.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.14% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 63.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 36.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 29.08% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 70.92% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 10.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 89.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 43.85%
Draw 26.83%
Kawasaki Frontale 29.29%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 11.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 43.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.83%
Kawasaki Frontale
0-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 29.29%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 31, 2025 11.00am
5
3
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 6, 2025 6.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Daihachi Okamura 20' yellowcard
  • Daihachi Okamura 20' yellowcard
  • Daihachi Okamura 34' goal
  • Daihachi Okamura 34' goal
  • Yuki Soma 41' yellowcard
  • Yuki Soma 41' yellowcard
  • Takuma Nishimura 53' goal
  • Takuma Nishimura 53' goal
  • goal Erison 16'
  • goal Erison 16'
  • goal So Kawahara 73'
  • goal So Kawahara 73'
J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 5, 2024 7.00am
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Yuki Nakashima 13' goal
  • Shota Fujio 83' yellowcard
  • goal Sota Miura 28'
  • goal Shin Yamada 38'
  • goal Erison 50'
  • goal Marcinho 71'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 7, 2024 7.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Ze Ricardo 23' yellowcard
  • Ze Ricardo 23' yellowcard
  • Erison 56' yellowcard
  • Erison 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kotaro Hayashi 22'
  • yellowcard Kotaro Hayashi 22'
  • goal Shota Fujio 32'
  • goal Shota Fujio 32'
  • yellowcard Se-Hun Oh 59'
  • yellowcard Se-Hun Oh 59'
  • redcard Kosei Tani 71'
  • redcard Kosei Tani 71'