J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Koki Ogawa   75' goal
  • Koki Ogawa   81' goal
  • goal Yasuto Wakizaka  59'

Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.00am
Mito Hollyhock 1 - 1 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Koki Ogawa  

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Kawasaki 4 - 2 JEF United
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Lazar Romanic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale has a probability of 29.25% and a draw has a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win is 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Machida Zelvia 43.85%
Draw 26.9%
Kawasaki Frontale 29.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.47%
Under 1.5 28.53%
Over 2.5 46.33% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.67%
Over 3.5 24.91%
Under 3.5 75.09%
Over 4.5 13.18% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.82% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Machida Zelvia 33.01%
Draw 44.36%
Kawasaki Frontale 22.63%

Team To Score First

Machida Zelvia 53.12% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.23% (-0.01)
Kawasaki Frontale 38.65%

Corners

Over 8 48.07%
Equal 8 12.48%
Under 8 39.45%
Over 9 36.29%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 51.93%
Over 10.5 26.09%
Under 10.5 73.91%

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 40.14%
Under 1.5 59.86%
Over 2.5 16.09% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.4%
Under 3.5 94.6%

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 63.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.55% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.96%
Under 1.5 71.04%
Over 2.5 10.1%
Under 2.5 89.9%
Over 3.5 2.83% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.17% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 43.85%
Draw 26.9%
Kawasaki Frontale 29.24%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 43.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.9%
Kawasaki Frontale
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Total : 29.24%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 31, 2025 11.00am
5
3
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 6, 2025 6.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Daihachi Okamura 20' yellowcard
  • Daihachi Okamura 20' yellowcard
  • Daihachi Okamura 34' goal
  • Daihachi Okamura 34' goal
  • Yuki Soma 41' yellowcard
  • Yuki Soma 41' yellowcard
  • Takuma Nishimura 53' goal
  • Takuma Nishimura 53' goal
  • goal Erison 16'
  • goal Erison 16'
  • goal So Kawahara 73'
  • goal So Kawahara 73'
J1 League Gameweek 33
Oct 5, 2024 7.00am
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Yuki Nakashima 13' goal
  • Shota Fujio 83' yellowcard
  • goal Sota Miura 28'
  • goal Shin Yamada 38'
  • goal Erison 50'
  • goal Marcinho 71'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 7, 2024 7.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Ze Ricardo 23' yellowcard
  • Ze Ricardo 23' yellowcard
  • Erison 56' yellowcard
  • Erison 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kotaro Hayashi 22'
  • yellowcard Kotaro Hayashi 22'
  • goal Shota Fujio 32'
  • goal Shota Fujio 32'
  • yellowcard Se-Hun Oh 59'
  • yellowcard Se-Hun Oh 59'
  • redcard Kosei Tani 71'
  • redcard Kosei Tani 71'