J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
  • Mutsuki Kato 71' goal
  • Akito Suzuki 80' goal
  • Taishi Matsumoto 87' yellowcard
  • Sébastien Haller 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Sho Inagaki 17'
  • yellowcard Yota Sato 90'+5'

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Akito Suzuki

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Okayama
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw has a probability of 21.06% and a win for Nagoya Grampus has a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.73%) , while for a Nagoya Grampus win it is 0-1 (4.76%).

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64.38%
Draw 21.06%
Nagoya Grampus 14.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.01% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.99% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 52.47% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.53% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.93%
Under 3.5 70.07%
Over 4.5 18.87%
Under 4.5 81.13%

First Half Winner

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.28%
Draw 39.43%
Nagoya Grampus 16.28%

Team To Score First

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66.21%
No Goal 6.57% (-0.01)
Nagoya Grampus 27.22% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.17%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 30.77%
Over 9 46.87%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 41.83%
Over 10.5 36.24%
Under 10.5 63.76%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 1.5 57.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 42.37% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 30.5% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.5% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.33% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.67% (-0.02)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 48.01% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 51.99% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 17.28% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 82.72% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.9% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64.4%
Draw 21.06%
Nagoya Grampus 14.52%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 10.22% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.7% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 2.76%
Other @ 13.21%
Total : 64.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73%
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 21.06%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 14.52%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2025 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 11
Apr 20, 2025 6.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Mateus 40' goal
  • Mateus 40' goal
  • Mateus 41' yellowcard
  • Mateus 41' yellowcard
  • Mateus 48' goal
  • Mateus 48' goal
  • Kensuke Nagai 70' yellowcard
  • Kensuke Nagai 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shuto Nakano 64'
  • yellowcard Shuto Nakano 64'
  • goal Daiki Suga 81'
  • goal Daiki Suga 81'
J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 17, 2024 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Ryuji Izumi 79' yellowcard
  • Kasper Junker 88' goal
  • yellowcard Hayao Kawabe 45'+1'
  • goal Hayato Araki 48'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 55'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 7.00am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT EDION Stadium
  • Sota Koshimichi 23' goal
  • Sota Koshimichi 23' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 48' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 48' goal
  • goal Patric 2'
  • goal Patric 2'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 18'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 18'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Morishima 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Morishima 45'+4'
  • goal Sho Sasaki 84' (OG)
  • goal Sho Sasaki 84' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 11.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Michael Skibbe 45' yellowcard
  • Shinnosuke Nakatani 72' goal
  • Douglas Vieira 81' goal
  • Ezequiel 85' goal
  • Ezequiel 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryoya Morishita 38'
  • yellowcard Takuya Uchida 48'
  • goal Kasper Junker 57'
  • yellowcard Akinari Kawazura 77'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Langerak 77'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 7.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Kasper Junker 43' goal
  • Kasper Junker 48' goal
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 37' (OG)