J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
  • Mutsuki Kato 71' goal
  • Akito Suzuki 80' goal
  • Taishi Matsumoto 87' yellowcard
  • Sébastien Haller 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Sho Inagaki 17'
  • yellowcard Yota Sato 90'+5'

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Akito Suzuki

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Okayama
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.07% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 14.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%) , while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 21.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Nagoya Grampus 14.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.53% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.1% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 39.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Nagoya Grampus 16.28%

Team To Score First

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66.17% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.57%
Nagoya Grampus 27.26% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 30.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 46.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 41.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 36.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 1.5 57.63%
Under 1.5 42.37%
Over 2.5 30.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 86.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 48.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 51.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 82.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.1%
Under 3.5 98.9%

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64.4%
Draw 21.07%
Nagoya Grampus 14.54%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 12.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.22%
3-0 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 2.76%
Other @ 13.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 64.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.07%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 4.76%
1-2 @ 3.9%
0-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 14.54%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2025 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 11
Apr 20, 2025 6.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Mateus 40' goal
  • Mateus 40' goal
  • Mateus 41' yellowcard
  • Mateus 41' yellowcard
  • Mateus 48' goal
  • Mateus 48' goal
  • Kensuke Nagai 70' yellowcard
  • Kensuke Nagai 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shuto Nakano 64'
  • yellowcard Shuto Nakano 64'
  • goal Daiki Suga 81'
  • goal Daiki Suga 81'
J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 17, 2024 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Ryuji Izumi 79' yellowcard
  • Kasper Junker 88' goal
  • yellowcard Hayao Kawabe 45'+1'
  • goal Hayato Araki 48'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 55'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 7.00am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT EDION Stadium
  • Sota Koshimichi 23' goal
  • Sota Koshimichi 23' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 48' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 48' goal
  • goal Patric 2'
  • goal Patric 2'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 18'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 18'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Morishima 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Morishima 45'+4'
  • goal Sho Sasaki 84' (OG)
  • goal Sho Sasaki 84' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 11.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Michael Skibbe 45' yellowcard
  • Shinnosuke Nakatani 72' goal
  • Douglas Vieira 81' goal
  • Ezequiel 85' goal
  • Ezequiel 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryoya Morishita 38'
  • yellowcard Takuya Uchida 48'
  • goal Kasper Junker 57'
  • yellowcard Akinari Kawazura 77'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Langerak 77'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 7.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Kasper Junker 43' goal
  • Kasper Junker 48' goal
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 37' (OG)