International Friendlies
Oct 6, 2026 5.00pm
RZD Arena

Russia vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 4.00pm
Russia 6 - 0 Namibia

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 10, 2026 8.45pm
Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Russia win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw has a probability of 20.96% and a win for Nigeria has a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.99%) and 3-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Nigeria win it is 0-1 (4.95%).

Result

Russia 65.77% ▲ (+1.82)
Draw 20.96% ▼ (-0.83)
Nigeria 13.23% ▼ (-1.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.72% ▲ (+1.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.61% ▲ (+2.30)
Under 1.5 24.39% ▼ (-2.31)
Over 2.5 51.59% ▲ (+3.00)
Under 2.5 48.41% ▼ (-3.00)
Over 3.5 29.2% ▲ (+2.97)
Under 3.5 70.8% ▼ (-2.97)
Over 4.5 19.1% ▲ (+2.96)
Under 4.5 80.9% ▼ (-2.95)

First Half Winner

Russia 55.78% ▲ (+0.60)
Draw 33.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Nigeria 10.42% ▼ (-0.74)

Team To Score First

Russia 72.33% ▲ (+0.85)
No Goal 6.68% ▼ (-0.75)
Nigeria 20.99% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 47.81% ▲ (+5.78)
Equal 8 10.81% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 8 41.38% ▼ (-5.04)
Over 9 37.58% ▲ (+5.93)
Equal 9 10.23% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 52.19% ▼ (-5.78)
Over 10.5 28.6% ▲ (+5.61)
Under 10.5 71.4% ▼ (-5.60)

Russia Goals

Over 1.5 57.96% ▲ (+3.14)
Under 1.5 42.04% ▼ (-3.14)
Over 2.5 32.73% ▲ (+4.14)
Under 2.5 67.27% ▼ (-4.15)
Over 3.5 14.71% ▲ (+2.88)
Under 3.5 85.29% ▼ (-2.87)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 44.71% ▼ (-1.87)
Under 0.5 55.29% ▲ (+1.87)
Over 1.5 14.84% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 85.16% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 3.43% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 96.57% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 0.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 99.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Russia 65.77%
Draw 20.96%
Nigeria 13.22%
Russia
1-0 @ 12.71% ▼ (-1.11)
2-0 @ 11.99% ▼ (-0.24)
3-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+1.09)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.83)
3-1 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 14.63% ▲ (+2.82)
Total : 65.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16% ▼ (-0.35)
0-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.75)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 20.96%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.50)
1-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 13.22%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maksim Osipenko 19' yellowcard
  • Semi Ajayi 27' goal
  • Danil Glebov 84' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Batrakov 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Onyemaechi 55'
  • goal Tolu Arokodare 71'