Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Gameweek
1
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-
George Ilenikhena
45'+1'
-
Ademola Lookman
57'
-
Moses Usor
65'
-
Ehsan Kari
16'
-
Geordan Dupire
36'
-
Nicolas Fontaine
90'+3'
Nigeria vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.44% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result
Nigeria
56.52%
Draw
24.44%
Madagascar
19%
Both Teams to Score:
48.95%
Goals
Over 1.5
75.05%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
24.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Over 3.5
30.64%
Under 3.5
69.36%
Over 4.5
18.52%
Under 4.5
81.48%
First Half Winner
Nigeria
40.54%
Draw
42.9%
Madagascar
16.57%
Team To Score First
Nigeria
65.09%
No Goal
7.78%
Madagascar
27.13%
Corners
Over 8
22.98%
Equal 8
8.78%
Under 8
68.24%
Over 9
16.37%
Equal 9
6.61%
Under 9
77.02%
Over 10.5
11.67%
Under 10.5
88.33%
Nigeria Goals
Over 1.5
52.45%
Under 1.5
47.55%
Over 2.5
28.1%
Under 2.5
71.9%
Over 3.5
12.19%
Under 3.5
87.81%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5
53.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
46.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
21.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
78.8%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
7.11%
Under 2.5
92.89%
Over 3.5
2%
Under 3.5
98%
Score analysis
Nigeria
56.52%
Draw
24.44%
Madagascar
19%
Nigeria
1-0
@
11.25%
2-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 11.78%
Total : 56.52%
2-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 11.78%
Total : 56.52%
Draw
1-1
@
10.87%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.44%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.44%
Madagascar
0-1
@
5.88%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 19%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 19%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Lalaina Nomenjanahary
13'
-
Andria
53'
-
Marco Ilaimaharitra
80'