Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.02% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 3-0 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%) , while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.