Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 5.00pm

Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Tanzania 0 - 2 Guinea-Bissau

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Nigeria 2 - 1 Madagascar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.35%. A draw has a probability of 28.86% and a win for Guinea-Bissau has a probability of 28.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.4%) , while for a Guinea-Bissau win it is 1-0 (10.08%).

Result

Guinea-Bissau 28.79% ▲ (+1.53)
Draw 28.86% ▲ (+0.83)
Nigeria 42.35% ▼ (-2.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.42% ▼ (-0.77)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.73% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 1.5 34.27% ▲ (+1.55)
Over 2.5 39.47% ▼ (-1.99)
Under 2.5 60.53% ▲ (+2.03)
Over 3.5 19.59% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 3.5 80.41% ▲ (+1.62)
Over 4.5 10.14% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 4.5 89.86% ▲ (+1.11)

First Half Winner

Guinea-Bissau 24.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 51.87% ▲ (+0.35)
Nigeria 23.36% ▼ (-0.45)

Team To Score First

Guinea-Bissau 44.09% ▲ (+0.32)
No Goal 11.13% ▲ (+0.75)
Nigeria 44.78% ▼ (-1.07)

Corners

Over 8 19.74% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 8 8.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 8 71.39% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 9 13.28% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 6.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 80.26% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 8.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 10.5 91.14% ▲ (+0.07)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 1.5 24.94% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 75.06% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 2.5 8.26% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 91.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 70.02% ▼ (-1.99)
Under 0.5 29.98% ▲ (+1.99)
Over 1.5 34.97% ▼ (-2.76)
Under 1.5 65.03% ▲ (+2.76)
Over 2.5 13.71% ▼ (-1.92)
Under 2.5 86.29% ▲ (+1.93)
Over 3.5 4.1% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 3.5 95.9% ▲ (+0.81)

Score analysis

Guinea-Bissau 28.79%
Draw 28.86%
Nigeria 42.36%
Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.74)
2-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.38)
3-1 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 28.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.4% ▲ (+0.38)
0-0 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.75)
2-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 28.86%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 13.07% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.42)
0-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.42)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.75)
Total : 42.36%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 22, 2024 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de l'Amitie
  • goal Opa Sangante 36' (OG)
  • yellowcard Semi Ajayi 44'
  • yellowcard Frank Onyeka 50'
  • yellowcard Calvin Bassey 90'+4'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 27, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Moses Simon 30'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Mama Balde 29'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 19, 2022 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Umar Sadiq 56'
  • goal William Troost-Ekong 75'