Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Franculino 15' goal
  • Mama Baldé 66' goal
  • Opa Sangante  75' yellowcard
  • Alfa Semedo 88' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Djaló 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Calvin Bassey 90'+3'

Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Tanzania 0 - 2 Guinea-Bissau

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Nigeria 2 - 1 Madagascar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.89% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 28.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.42%) , while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Guinea-Bissau 28.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 28.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Nigeria 42.23% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.42%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 34.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 39.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 60.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 80.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 10.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.89% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Guinea-Bissau 24.78%
Draw 51.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Nigeria 23.36%

Team To Score First

Guinea-Bissau 44.07% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 11.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Nigeria 44.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 19.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 8.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 71.26% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 13.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 6.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 80.17% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 10.5 8.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 91.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 1.5 24.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.25%
Under 3.5 97.75%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 69.93% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 30.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 34.88% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 65.12% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 13.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 86.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Guinea-Bissau 28.84%
Draw 28.89%
Nigeria 42.24%
Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 28.89%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 13.04% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 42.24%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 22, 2024 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de l'Amitie
  • goal Opa Sangante 36' (OG)
  • yellowcard Semi Ajayi 44'
  • yellowcard Frank Onyeka 50'
  • yellowcard Calvin Bassey 90'+4'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 27, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Moses Simon 30'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Mama Balde 29'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 19, 2022 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Umar Sadiq 56'
  • goal William Troost-Ekong 75'