Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Amaan Stadium
  • Denis Kibu 22' yellowcard
  • goal Franculino 33'
  • goal Mama Baldé 58'
  • yellowcard Dálcio 90'+1'

Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 45.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.39% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%) , while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Tanzania 45.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 29.39%
Guinea-Bissau 25.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.26%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 34.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 40.17%
Under 2.5 59.83%
Over 3.5 19.88%
Under 3.5 80.12%
Over 4.5 10.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.16% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Tanzania 32.57%
Draw 49.95%
Guinea-Bissau 17.49%

Team To Score First

Tanzania 59.76%
No Goal 11.93%
Guinea-Bissau 28.31%

Corners

Over 8 17.31%
Equal 8 7.55%
Under 8 75.14%
Over 9 12%
Equal 9 5.31%
Under 9 82.69%
Over 10.5 8.43%
Under 10.5 91.57%

Tanzania Goals

Over 1.5 37.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5 55.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 44.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 22.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 77.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.09%
Under 3.5 97.91%

Score analysis

Tanzania 45.22%
Draw 29.38%
Guinea-Bissau 25.4%
Tanzania
1-0 @ 13.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 45.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 11.93%
2-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 29.38%
Guinea-Bissau
0-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84%
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 25.4%