International Friendlies
Sep 29, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ak Bars Arena
  • Aleksandr Golovin 21' goal
  • Aleksandr Golovin 36' goal
  • Maksim Glushenkov 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saleh Hardani 31'
  • yellowcard Ali Nemati 78'

Russia vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 9, 2026 6.00pm
Russia 3 - 0 Trin. & Tob.

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 29, 2026 4.30pm
Iran 3 - 1 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Russia win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw has a probability of 21.68% and a win for Iran has a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Iran win it is 0-1 (6.08%).

Result

Russia 59.63%
Draw 21.68%
Iran 18.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 75%
Under 1.5 25%
Over 2.5 50.68%
Under 2.5 49.32%
Over 3.5 28.42%
Under 3.5 71.58%
Over 4.5 17.37%
Under 4.5 82.63%

First Half Winner

Russia 52.92%
Draw 34.82%
Iran 12.25%

Team To Score First

Russia 70.63%
No Goal 6.71%
Iran 22.66%

Corners

Over 8 51.99%
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 36.3%
Over 9 40.59%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 48.01%
Over 10.5 30.38%
Under 10.5 69.62%

Russia Goals

Over 1.5 53.07%
Under 1.5 46.93%
Over 2.5 27.63%
Under 2.5 72.37%
Over 3.5 11.6%
Under 3.5 88.4%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 51.45%
Under 0.5 48.55%
Over 1.5 19.54%
Under 1.5 80.46%
Over 2.5 5.81%
Under 2.5 94.19%
Over 3.5 1.51%
Under 3.5 98.49%

Score analysis

Russia 59.63%
Draw 21.67%
Iran 18.7%
Russia
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 11.55%
Total : 59.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 6.71%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 21.67%
Iran
0-1 @ 6.08%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 18.7%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 10, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT
International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Azadi Stadium
  • Mehdi Taremi 47' goal
  • goal Anton Miranchuk 28'