International Friendlies
Japan
Nov 14, 2026 10.15am
National Olympic Stadium
Brazil

Japan vs Brazil - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 1, 2026 11.10am
Japan 0 - 0 Ecuador

Brazil

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
India 0 - 4 Brazil

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Japan has a probability of 28.95% and a draw has a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Japan win is 1-0 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

Japan 28.95%
Draw 25.65%
Brazil 45.35% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.07%
Under 1.5 25.93%
Over 2.5 49.3%
Under 2.5 50.7%
Over 3.5 27.45%
Under 3.5 72.55%
Over 4.5 14.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Japan Goals

Over 1.5 29.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 75.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 18.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 81.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.58%
Under 3.5 93.42%

Score analysis

Japan 28.97%
Draw 25.66%
Brazil 45.36%
Japan
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2%
3-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 28.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.66%
Brazil
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-2 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.62%
Other @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 45.36%

Head to Head

World Cup
Brazil
Jun 29, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Houston Stadium
Japan
  • Casimiro 14' yellowcard
  • Casimiro 15' yellowcard
  • Danilo 48' yellowcard
  • Casimiro 56' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Kaishu Sano 12'
  • yellowcard Kaishu Sano 13'
  • goal Kaishu Sano 29'
  • yellowcard Daichi Kamada 45'
  • yellowcard Junnosuke Suzuki 84'
International Friendlies
Japan
Oct 14, 2025 11.30am
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
Brazil
  • Takumi Minamino 52' goal
  • Keito Nakamura 62' goal
  • Ayase Ueda 71' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 78' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Henrique 26'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli  32'
  • yellowcard Estêvão 78'
International Friendlies
Japan
Jun 6, 2022 11.20am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brazil
  • Wataru Endo 40' yellowcard
  • Daichi Kamada 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raphinha 35'
  • goal Neymar 77'
  • yellowcard Neymar 80'
International Friendlies
Japan
Nov 10, 2017 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Brazil
  • Maya Yoshida 9' yellowcard
  • Genki Haraguchi 54' yellowcard
  • Yosuke Ideguchi 58' yellowcard
  • Tomoaki Makino 63' goal
  • Hiroki Sakai 67' yellowcard
  • goal Neymar 10'
  • goal Marcelo 17'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 36'
  • yellowcard Neymar 57'
International Friendlies
Japan
Oct 14, 2014 11.45am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Brazil
  • goal Neymar 18'
  • goal Neymar 48'
  • goal Neymar 77'
  • goal Neymar 81'
Confederations Cup
Brazil
Jun 15, 2013 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Japan
  • Neymar 0' goal
  • Paulinho 0' goal
  • Jo 0' goal

Form Data

Japan 0 - 0 Ecuador
Japan 2 - 1 Venezuela
Brazil 2 - 1 Japan
Japan 1 - 1 Sweden
Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan
Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan
India 0 - 4 Brazil
Australia 2 - 4 Brazil
Australia 1 - 1 Brazil
Brazil 1 - 2 Norway
Brazil 2 - 1 Japan
Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil

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