World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Nov 15, 2024 12.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Justin Hubner 35' (OG)
  • goal Takumi Minamino 40'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 49'
  • goal Yukinari Sugawara 69'

Indonesia vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 1.00pm
China 2 - 1 Indonesia

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 11.35am
Japan 1 - 1 Australia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 9.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.61%) and 0-3 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Indonesia 9.18% (-0.19)
Draw 16.56% (-0.28)
Japan 74.25% (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.34% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.51% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 42.48% (-0.67)
Over 3.5 35.11% (+0.66)
Under 3.5 64.89% (-0.67)
Over 4.5 18.35% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 81.65% (-0.50)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5 49.2% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.8% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 14.79% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 85.2% (-0.04)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 90.12% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 9.87% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 67.26% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 32.73% (-0.67)

Score analysis

Indonesia 9.18%
Draw 16.56%
Japan 74.24%
Indonesia
1-0 @ 3.4% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 2.66% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 1.15% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 9.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.87% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 16.56%
Japan
0-2 @ 13.44% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 10.37% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 7.03% (+0.07)
0-4 @ 6.01% (+0.13)
1-4 @ 4.07% (+0.09)
0-5 @ 2.78% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.88% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (+0.04)
0-6 @ 1.07% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 74.24%

Head to Head

Asian Cup
Jan 24, 2024 11.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Al Thumama Stadium
  • Ayase Ueda 6' goal
  • Ayase Ueda 52' goal
  • Wataru Endo 68' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 70' yellowcard
  • Justin Hubner 88' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Struick 42'
  • yellowcard Tae-Yong Shin 43'
  • yellowcard Jordi Amat 77'
  • yellowcard Justin Hubner 78'
  • goal Sandy Walsh 90'+1'