/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fmedlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fvaslog.png)
-
Halam Loboa
37'
-
John Edwin Montaño
45'+4'
-
John Edwin Montaño
72'
-
Joaquín Varela
46'
(OG)
-
Cauan Barros
58'
-
Claudio Spinelli
86'
Independiente Medellin vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.89% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
Independiente Medellin
46.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
27.89%
▼
(-0.08)
Vasco da Gama
25.81%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
44.73%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 1.5
67.11%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
32.89%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 2.5
41.51%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
58.46%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 3.5
20.59%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
79.41%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
10.99%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
89.01%
▼
(-0.15)
First Half Winner
Independiente Medellin
33.76%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
44.68%
▼
(-0.08)
Vasco da Gama
21.56%
▼
(-0.05)
Team To Score First
Independiente Medellin
54.47%
▲
(+0.04)
No Goal
10.47%
▼
(-0.09)
Vasco da Gama
35.06%
▲
(+0.06)
Corners
Over 8
56.72%
▼
(-0.06)
Equal 8
11.53%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
31.75%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 9
45.08%
▼
(-0.03)
Equal 9
11.65%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
43.28%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 10.5
34.27%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 10.5
65.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 1.5
39.14%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
60.86%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 2.5
15.45%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 2.5
84.55%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
5.26%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
94.74%
▼
(-0.10)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5
57.66%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
42.34%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
23.46%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
76.54%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 2.5
7.71%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
92.29%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
2%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
98%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Independiente Medellin
46.31%
Draw
27.9%
Vasco da Gama
25.8%
Independiente Medellin
1-0
@
13.53%
▼
(-0.11)
2-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 46.31%
2-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 46.31%
Draw
1-1
@
12.58%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.9%
0-0 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.9%
Vasco da Gama
0-1
@
8.9%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.8%
1-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.8%