/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fgrelog.png)
-
Gabriel Mec
63'
-
Cristian Pavón
64'
-
Erick Noriega
90'+2'
-
Walter Kannemann
90'+3'
-
Marlon
90'+8'
-
Dairon Asprilla
16'
-
Carlos Melgar
65'
-
Leonel Justiniano
90'+2'
Gremio vs Bolivar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result
Gremio
50.05%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
22.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Bolivar
27.12%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
52.22%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
23.11%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
53.68%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
46.32%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
30.67%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
69.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
18.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
81.75%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Gremio
32.98%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
39.91%
▼
(-0.10)
Bolivar
27.11%
▲
(+0.26)
Team To Score First
Gremio
50.44%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
6.19%
Bolivar
43.37%
▲
(+0.02)
Corners
Over 8
58.48%
▼
(-0.74)
Equal 8
11.51%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 8
30.02%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 9
46.7%
▼
(-0.76)
Equal 9
11.78%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 9
41.52%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 10.5
35.65%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 10.5
64.35%
▲
(+0.73)
Gremio Goals
Over 1.5
47.68%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
52.32%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
22.81%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
77.19%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
8.69%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
91.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5
60.79%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
39.21%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
29.37%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
70.63%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 2.5
11.18%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
88.82%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
3.58%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
96.42%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Gremio
50.06%
Draw
22.86%
Bolivar
27.11%
Gremio
1-0
@
10.42%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 50.06%
2-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 50.06%
Draw
1-1
@
10.79%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.86%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.86%
Bolivar
1-2
@
6.69%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 27.11%