Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Ghana win was 1-0 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.