Club Friendlies 1
Aug 12, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Elland Road
  • Joshua Zirkzee 16' goal
  • goal Brenden Aaronson 29'

Manchester United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 4.00pm
PSG 1 - 1 Man Utd

Leeds United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 9.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 4 Leeds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 51.95% ▲ (+17.75)
Draw 23.4% ▼ (-5.86)
Leeds United 24.65% ▼ (-11.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.41% ▲ (+6.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.3% ▲ (+6.89)
Under 1.5 18.7% ▼ (-6.89)
Over 2.5 60.31% ▲ (+10.25)
Under 2.5 39.69% ▼ (-10.25)
Over 3.5 38.45% ▲ (+9.91)
Under 3.5 61.55% ▼ (-9.91)
Over 4.5 23.65% ▲ (+7.88)
Under 4.5 76.35% ▼ (-7.89)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 36.73% ▲ (+9.46)
Draw 40.73% ▼ (-2.47)
Leeds United 22.54% ▼ (-7.00)

Team To Score First

Manchester United 57.28% ▲ (+14.57)
No Goal 4.99% ▼ (-2.91)
Leeds United 37.73% ▼ (-11.66)

Corners

Over 8 65.01% ▲ (+6.74)
Equal 8 10.6% ▼ (-1.23)
Under 8 24.39% ▼ (-5.52)
Over 9 53.6% ▲ (+7.42)
Equal 9 11.41% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 9 34.99% ▼ (-6.73)
Over 10.5 42.34% ▲ (+7.47)
Under 10.5 57.66% ▼ (-7.47)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 54.05% ▲ (+18.22)
Under 1.5 45.95% ▼ (-18.22)
Over 2.5 27.96% ▲ (+14.31)
Under 2.5 72.04% ▼ (-14.31)
Over 3.5 11.53% ▲ (+7.03)
Under 3.5 88.47% ▼ (-7.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 63.5% ▼ (-8.13)
Under 0.5 36.5% ▲ (+8.13)
Over 1.5 32.05% ▼ (-6.17)
Under 1.5 67.95% ▲ (+6.17)
Over 2.5 11.89% ▼ (-4.13)
Under 2.5 88.11% ▲ (+4.13)
Over 3.5 3.97% ▼ (-1.87)
Under 3.5 96.03% ▲ (+1.88)

Score analysis

Manchester United 51.95%
Draw 23.4%
Leeds United 24.65%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+1.55)
1-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.51)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+2.16)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+2.82)
3-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+2.39)
3-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+2.07)
Other @ 11.22% ▲ (+7.27)
Total : 51.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26% ▼ (-2.82)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-2.91)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 23.4%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-1.83)
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-3.52)
0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-2.70)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.91)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-1.45)
Other @ 3.66% ▼ (-1.64)
Total : 24.65%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Casemiro 69' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 70' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Okafor 5'
  • goal Noah Okafor 29'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 74'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 74'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 86'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Brenden Aaronson 62' goal
  • Lukas Nmecha 75' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 80' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 80' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 63'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2025 10.00am
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 12, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Noam Emeran 67' goal
  • Joe Hugill 81' goal

Build-up

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