Club Friendlies 1
Aug 12, 2026 7.30pm
Elland Road

Leeds United vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 9.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 4 Leeds

Manchester United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 4.00pm
PSG 1 - 1 Man Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 34.2% and a draw has a probability of 29.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 1-0 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.07%).

Result

Leeds United 34.2% (-0.06)
Draw 29.25% (-0.06)
Manchester United 36.6% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.99% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.41% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.59% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.06% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.94% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 28.55% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.45% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.77% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.23% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 27.27% (-0.08)
Draw 43.19% (+0.15)
Manchester United 29.54% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 42.72% (-0.38)
No Goal 7.9% (-0.01)
Manchester United 49.38% (+0.39)

Corners

Over 8 58.28% (+0.90)
Equal 8 11.82% (-0.09)
Under 8 29.91% (-0.81)
Over 9 46.19% (+0.91)
Equal 9 12.09%
Under 9 41.72% (-0.90)
Over 10.5 34.88% (+0.83)
Under 10.5 65.12% (-0.82)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 35.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.17% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.5% (+0.02)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 71.62% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.38% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 38.21% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 61.79% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 16.01% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.99% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.84% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Leeds United 34.21%
Draw 29.25%
Manchester United 36.59%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.96% (-0.03)
Total : 34.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.25%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 8.79% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.91% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.3% (+0.01)
Total : 36.59%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Casemiro 69' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 70' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Okafor 5'
  • goal Noah Okafor 29'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 74'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 74'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 86'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Brenden Aaronson 62' goal
  • Lukas Nmecha 75' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 80' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 80' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 63'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2025 10.00am
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 12, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Noam Emeran 67' goal
  • Joe Hugill 81' goal