/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fethlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsenlog.png)
-
Yared Baye
90'
-
Ibrahim Mbaye
11'
-
Pape Gueye
19'
-
Malang Sarr
48'
-
Lamine Sy
48'
-
Idrissa Gueye
70'
Ethiopia vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.96% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.17%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result
Ethiopia
22.9%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
23.96%
Senegal
53.11%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
50.13%
Goals
Over 1.5
74.93%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
25.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
51.31%
Under 2.5
48.66%
Over 3.5
27.21%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
72.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
15.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
84.11%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Ethiopia
19.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
41.91%
▼
(-0.02)
Senegal
38.99%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Ethiopia
34.39%
No Goal
7.01%
Senegal
58.6%
Corners
Over 8
23.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 8
9.56%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
66.82%
Over 9
16.36%
Equal 9
7.27%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
76.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 10.5
11.17%
Under 10.5
88.83%
Ethiopia Goals
Over 1.5
24.06%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
75.94%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
7.88%
Under 2.5
92.12%
Over 3.5
1.9%
Under 3.5
98.1%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5
79.58%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
20.42%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
48.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
51.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
23.66%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
76.34%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
9.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
90.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Ethiopia
22.9%
Draw
23.96%
Senegal
53.1%
Ethiopia
1-0
@
6.68%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.9%
2-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.9%
Draw
1-1
@
11.66%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.96%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.96%
Senegal
0-1
@
11.34%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 10.17%
0-2 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 2.55%
Other @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 53.1%
1-2 @ 10.17%
0-2 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 2.55%
Other @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 53.1%