/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fethlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_1.png)
-
Binyam Belay
41'
-
Babatunde Adepoju
18'
Ethiopia vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%) , while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result
Ethiopia
42.74%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
29.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Malawi
27.8%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
47.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
66.51%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
33.49%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 2.5
42.08%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
57.92%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 3.5
22.63%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
77.37%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
12.22%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
87.78%
▼
(-0.11)
First Half Winner
Ethiopia
28.73%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
49.74%
▲
(+0.07)
Malawi
21.52%
▼
(-0.13)
Team To Score First
Ethiopia
50.43%
▲
(+0.30)
No Goal
11.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Malawi
38.08%
▼
(-0.25)
Corners
Over 8
25.59%
▼
(-0.17)
Equal 8
9.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 8
64.63%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 9
18%
▼
(-0.13)
Equal 9
7.59%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 9
74.41%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 10.5
12.48%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 10.5
87.52%
▲
(+0.09)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 1.5
37.37%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
62.63%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 2.5
15.26%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
84.74%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
5.17%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
94.83%
▼
(-0.08)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5
60.14%
Under 0.5
39.86%
Over 1.5
26.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
73.88%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
8.67%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
91.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
2.53%
Under 3.5
97.47%
Score analysis
Ethiopia
42.73%
Draw
29.5%
Malawi
27.81%
Ethiopia
1-0
@
12.53%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 42.73%
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 42.73%
Draw
1-1
@
12.45%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.49% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.5%
0-0 @ 11.49% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.5%
Malawi
0-1
@
9.51%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.81%
1-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.81%
