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Ethiopia vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ethiopia win with a probability of 42.53%. A draw has a probability of 29.52% and a win for Malawi has a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.44%) , while for a Malawi win it is 0-1 (9.59%).
Result
Ethiopia
42.53%
▲
(+0.31)
Draw
29.52%
▲
(+1.29)
Malawi
27.95%
▼
(-1.63)
Both Teams to Score:
47.12%
▼
(-1.07)
Goals
Over 1.5
66.28%
▼
(-2.08)
Under 1.5
33.72%
▲
(+2.08)
Over 2.5
41.86%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 2.5
58.17%
▲
(+2.21)
Over 3.5
22.48%
▼
(-1.36)
Under 3.5
77.52%
▲
(+1.36)
Over 4.5
12.11%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 4.5
87.89%
▲
(+0.75)
First Half Winner
Ethiopia
28.67%
▲
(+0.80)
Draw
49.68%
▲
(+0.46)
Malawi
21.65%
▼
(-1.25)
Team To Score First
Ethiopia
50.13%
▲
(+0.42)
No Goal
11.55%
▲
(+1.30)
Malawi
38.32%
▼
(-1.71)
Corners
Over 8
25.75%
▲
(+0.22)
Equal 8
9.81%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 8
64.44%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 9
18.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 9
7.62%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 9
74.25%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 10.5
12.57%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 10.5
87.43%
▲
(+0.19)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 1.5
37.09%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 1.5
62.91%
▲
(+0.68)
Over 2.5
15.06%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 2.5
84.94%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 3.5
5.09%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
94.91%
▲
(+0.12)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5
60.14%
▼
(-2.12)
Under 0.5
39.86%
▲
(+2.12)
Over 1.5
26.11%
▼
(-2.02)
Under 1.5
73.89%
▲
(+2.02)
Over 2.5
8.65%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 2.5
91.35%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 3.5
2.53%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
97.47%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Ethiopia
42.52%
Draw
29.51%
Malawi
27.94%
Ethiopia
1-0
@
12.55%
▲
(+0.66)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 42.52%
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 42.52%
Draw
1-1
@
12.44%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 11.55% ▲ (+1.30)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 29.51%
0-0 @ 11.55% ▲ (+1.30)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 29.51%
Malawi
0-1
@
9.59%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.46)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.29)
Total : 27.94%
1-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.46)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.29)
Total : 27.94%
